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February 13, 2026
By Alex Financials
U.S. equity markets are trending lower Friday, with major indexes slipping after mixed economic data and renewed selling pressure on mega-cap tech names. After recent gains earlier in the week, investors appear cautious, reacting to inflation figures and fears that artificial intelligence (AI) could disrupt broad sectors beyond traditional software winners. Key averages — including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite — have recorded declines for a second straight session amid this shift in sentiment.
A key catalyst for market moves today is the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for January, which showed inflation rising less than economists had forecasted. Year-over-year inflation measured 2.4%, slightly under expectations, and monthly gains in the CPI were modest. This generally feeds the narrative that price pressures are easing — which can support the idea of future Federal Reserve rate cuts — yet traders are still skeptical about how soon those cuts may arrive.
Market pricing now reflects a roughly 51% chance of at least one 25-basis-point rate cut by June, though expectations of reductions at the next meeting remain low.
Technology and growth stocks — once the market’s engine — are under pressure as fears grow that AI won’t benefit every company equally and could instead disrupt traditional business models.
$CSCO (Cisco Systems) has slumped sharply as its revenue outlook disappointed analysts, triggering a broad selloff in networking and tech shares.
Market leaders such as $NVDA (Nvidia), $META (Meta Platforms), $AMZN (Amazon), and $AAPL (Apple) have also faced selling pressure in recent sessions.
This rotation has spilled over into real estate and logistics stocks, where investors fear advanced AI tools could automate traditional services. Commercial real estate stocks like $CBRE and $JLL, and transport names such as $CHRW (C.H. Robinson) and $RXO have notably lagged the broader market.
Earnings and outlooks are contributing to today’s stock moves:
$BAX (Baxter International) fell sharply on profit guidance that disappointed investors, pressuring the healthcare segment.
Economically sensitive areas like trucking and industrial services are facing heavier selling due to AI disruption narratives.
Elsewhere, reports show regional and specialty stocks moving on earnings beats and misses, highlighting the bifurcation in today’s market flows.
In international news, Alibaba ($BABA) is reported to be down notably — possibly on account of regulatory or geopolitical risks around a Pentagon blacklisting — which has ripple effects for U.S. ADR markets and global growth sentiment.
Investors appear to be adopting a risk-off tone, selling equities and rotating into safe haven assets in some sessions. Gold futures and even bitcoin have shown periods of weakness, reflecting broader caution tied to growth uncertainty and monetary policy expectations.
Still, broader economic signals, such as strong job growth and mixed housing and retail data, continue to cloud the outlook — supporting the argument that markets are caught between growth optimism and Fed caution.
Here’s what investors are scanning for as Friday’s session continues and the weekend nears:
Fed rate decisions and inflation indicators: Tomorrow’s CPI and PCE data will be key for rate expectations.
Upcoming earnings from large tech and consumer firms could re-ignite volatility.
AI narratives and forecasts: How companies position themselves as AI beneficiaries vs. casualties will drive sector rotations.
Global macro risks such as geopolitics, debt markets, and supply chain dynamics may also sway sentiment.
Today’s market action reflects a transitioning investor mindset: cooling inflation data offers hope of rate relief, but doubts about the sustainability of tech valuations and the economic impact of AI are prompting caution. As seen through notable stock reactions and broad sector moves, markets are balancing conflicting narratives — economic optimism vs. structural uncertainty — creating a nuanced trading backdrop for the near term.